How does exposure to refugees affect elections, development, and citizen support for migration within the Global South? In the context of wealthy consolidated democracies, recent studies have found that when voters are more exposed to refugees, they punish incumbents and turn to far-right parties. Yet there is a dearth of studies on the electoral consequences of refugee-hosting in developing countries, where the majority of refugees reside and politics often do not fall on a left-right divide.
|Date||8 February 2022|
In her working paper When Refugee Exposure Increases Incumbent Support through Development: Evidence from Uganda, co-authored with Guy Grossman, Yang-Yang Zhou explores this question in Uganda, one of the largest refugee-hosting countries. Combining information on the populations and locations of refugee settlements with four waves of national elections data at the parish level, they find that greater exposure to refugees increases incumbent support. Yang-Yang Zhou will be presenting her working paper in this upcoming ACES lecture, co-sponsored by the Amsterdam Center for Conflict Studies.
Yang-Yang Zhou is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of British Columbia. She is on leave for two years as a Harvard Academy Scholar and a CIFAR Azrieli Global Scholar. Her research examines the political causes and consequences of migration, particularly within Global South contexts. For example, how does the settlement of refugees affect local public goods provision, conflict, and voting behavior of citizens? Her current projects span East Africa, Central Asia, and South America. She also co-hosts the podcast, Scope Conditions.